Tuesday, 22 September 2026

Anti-Duhring, Part III – Socialism, II – Theoretical - Part 10

With privately owned industrial capital, such conditions enable the capitalists to gradually expand their business. They expand, at first, by replacing their older machines, as they wear out, with the newer, more productive, machines/technology. That is intensive accumulation, and leads to rising levels of productivity and rates of profit. In addition, the existence of cheap labour-power, and low rates of interest encourages new entrepreneurs to chance their arm, often in new types of production.

Over time, the majority of the old machines/technology, gets replaced by the new machines/technology, so that the rise in productivity slows down. To increase production, now, each firm must not juts replace the worn out machines, but invest in additional machines, and additional workers to operate them. This is now extensive accumulation. The demand for labour rises until again a relative shortage is created, wages rise – itself leading to a more rapid rise in the demand for wage goods, and consequently in aggregate demand, as firms scrabble to capture their share of the growing market – and, eventually, profits are squeezed.

More of the profit must be retained for accumulation, proportionally less is thrown into the money market, and, indeed, firms must enter the money market, themselves, to borrow. They must take out bank loans, issue bonds and debentures etc. The demand for loanable money-capital relative to its supply rises, interest rates rise, asset prices fall.

Eventually, wages rise to a level where a new crisis of overproduction of capital relative to labour arises. The rate of profit drops sharply. The less efficient firms cannot even make profit. They must borrow now, not to invest but simply to pay their bills. The rate of interest reaches its highest level. They go bust and lay off their workers so that a surplus of capital is now accompanied by a surplus of labour. The firms and their workers no longer appear in the market as consumers of commodities. There is under-consumption, so that there is now an overproduction of commodities, as well as capital and labour. The cycle begins again.

To overcome the overproduction of capital, capital, as a whole, engages in a new technological revolution. Productivity and profits, and the rate of profit rise. The long-wave cycle, now witnessed five times, applies, also, to socialised capitals. A new, long-wave uptrend began around 1890, as socialised capital began to supplant the monopoly of private capital. During this period, after 1890, we also see the rapid expansion of the organised labour movement, on the basis of social-democracy.

It is, of course, in workers' interest, as Marx sets out in Wage-Labour and Capital, for capital to continue to accumulate, because it is under those conditions that the demand for labour is high, and so wages rise. As, objectively, the collective owners of that socialised capital, they have every reason to want to ensure such continued expansion. But, so long as those means of production exist as capital, so long as production and distribution is determined by the market, by exchange-value, rather than use-value, the same laws of capital will continue to repeat this cycle.

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