Anti-Duhring, Part III – Socialism, II – Theoretical - Part 10

With privately owned industrial capital, such conditions enable the capitalists to gradually expand their business. They expand, at first, by replacing their older machines, as they wear out, with the newer, more productive, machines/technology. That is intensive accumulation, and leads to rising levels of productivity and rates of profit. In addition, the existence of cheap labour-power, and low rates of interest encourages new entrepreneurs to chance their arm, often in new types of production.

Over time, the majority of the old machines/technology, gets replaced by the new machines/technology, so that the rise in productivity slows down. To increase production, now, each firm must not juts replace the worn out machines, but invest in additional machines, and additional workers to operate them. This is now extensive accumulation. The demand for labour rises until again a relative shortage is created, wages rise – itself leading to a more rapid rise in the demand for wage goods, and consequently in aggregate demand, as firms scrabble to capture their share of the growing market – and, eventually, profits are squeezed.

More of the profit must be retained for accumulation, proportionally less is thrown into the money market, and, indeed, firms must enter the money market, themselves, to borrow. They must take out bank loans, issue bonds and debentures etc. The demand for loanable money-capital relative to its supply rises, interest rates rise, asset prices fall.

Eventually, wages rise to a level where a new crisis of overproduction of capital relative to labour arises. The rate of profit drops sharply. The less efficient firms cannot even make profit. They must borrow now, not to invest but simply to pay their bills. The rate of interest reaches its highest level. They go bust and lay off their workers so that a surplus of capital is now accompanied by a surplus of labour. The firms and their workers no longer appear in the market as consumers of commodities. There is under-consumption, so that there is now an overproduction of commodities, as well as capital and labour. The cycle begins again.

To overcome the overproduction of capital, capital, as a whole, engages in a new technological revolution. Productivity and profits, and the rate of profit rise. The long-wave cycle, now witnessed five times, applies, also, to socialised capitals. A new, long-wave uptrend began around 1890, as socialised capital began to supplant the monopoly of private capital. During this period, after 1890, we also see the rapid expansion of the organised labour movement, on the basis of social-democracy.

It is, of course, in workers' interest, as Marx sets out in Wage-Labour and Capital, for capital to continue to accumulate, because it is under those conditions that the demand for labour is high, and so wages rise. As, objectively, the collective owners of that socialised capital, they have every reason to want to ensure such continued expansion. But, so long as those means of production exist as capital, so long as production and distribution is determined by the market, by exchange-value, rather than use-value, the same laws of capital will continue to repeat this cycle.

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Anti-Duhring, Part III – Socialism, II – Theoretical - Part 9

Marx was only led even to this conclusion, in relation to the value of the materials, because he saw the reduction in its value, being limited by its nature as derived from agriculture.

“... some kinds of raw materials, such as wool, silk, leather, are produced by animal organic processes, while cotton, linen, etc., are produced by vegetable organic processes and capitalist production has not yet succeeded, and never will succeed in mastering these processes in the same way as it has mastered purely mechanical or inorganic chemical processes. Raw materials such as skins, etc., and other animal products become dearer partly because the insipid law of rent increases the value of these products as civilisation advances. As far as coal and metal (wood) are concerned, they become much cheaper with the advance of production; this will however become more difficult as mines are exhausted, etc.”

(ibid)

But, as I have set out elsewhere, not only does Marx set out some of the factors that contradict that conclusion, such as the reduction in waste, the use of new materials, improved use of auxiliary materials (particularly energy), but the introduction of synthetic materials, changes in the types of commodities and so on, mean that even this argument for a rising organic composition does not hold. Still less does it hold, in economies where the main production of value and surplus value, has moved to service industries rather than manufacture.

So, there is, really, no basis for arguing that c rises relative to v + s, in the long run, and so no basis for any significant tendency for the rate of profit to fall. However, there is, for these same reasons, a very good basis for there being a regular cycle in which the rate of profit rises and falls, because it is squeezed by a rise in relative wages, as industrial capital grows faster than the supply of labour/social working-day, a crisis of overproduction of capital relative to labour, as Marx describes it in Capital III, Chapter 15.

“As soon as capital would, therefore, have grown in such a ratio to the labouring population that neither the absolute working-time supplied by this population, nor the relative surplus working-time, could be expanded any further (this last would not be feasible at any rate in the case when the demand for labour were so strong that there were a tendency for wages to rise); at a point, therefore, when the increased capital produced just as much, or even less, surplus-value than it did before its increase, there would be absolute over-production of capital; i.e., the increased capital C + ΔC would produce no more, or even less, profit than capital C before its expansion by ΔC. In both cases there would be a steep and sudden fall in the general rate of profit, but this time due to a change in the composition of capital not caused by the development of the productive forces, but rather by a rise in the money-value of the variable capital (because of increased wages) and the corresponding reduction in the proportion of surplus-labour to necessary labour.”

If we go back to Marx's analysis of relative surplus value in Capital I, the first form, as set out, has limited life, because other producers adopt the same machine/technology. However, Marx explains that relative surplus value has a second form. If the value of wage goods fall, as a result of the rise in productivity, a smaller portion of the working-day is taken up as necessary labour. A larger proportion is, now, surplus labour. The rate of surplus value rises. For this to resolve a crisis of overproduction of capital, relative to labour supply it must be a generalised technological revolution, not just a piecemeal change in one or two industries. That is what happens with the introduction of steam engines, electric motors, internal combustion engines, assembly lines, and with microchips.

After each of these generalised technological revolutions, the crisis of overproduction of capital, relative to labour, reverses. It becomes a crisis for labour, which is, now, again, overproduced relative to capital. A relative surplus population. The surplus or net product rises, relative to the gross product, creating a period of relatively slower growth. As profit, the money equivalent of the surplus product, rises, whilst gross output grows at slower pace, the rate of interest falls (because the supply of this loanable money-capital, thereby, rises, relative to the demand for it for capital accumulation). It causes asset pries and speculation to rise, leading to asset price bubbles.

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SNNS 61

 

Northern Soul Classics - Reach Out, I'll Be There - The San Remo Strings

 

Anti-Duhring, Part III – Socialism, II – Theoretical - Part 8

But, did this crisis that industrial capital faced then mean that there was no way out for it, and that the mass of profit must fall, as Smith and Hodgskin believed? Would it mean that, even if it escaped this immediate crisis, it would only lead to a bigger crisis and more rapid series of crises, leading to its collapse, as many modern catastrophists have argued? No, Marx explains.

Ricardo noted that when wages rise so that it is no longer cheaper to use women to pull canal barges, industrial capital turns to the use of horses, which are, in fact, more efficient, especially when barges become bigger and heavier, as more freight is moved around. Industrial capital does not engage in major technological revolutions, which involve it in greater immediate expense, unless it becomes worthwhile to do so. But, this introduction of technology/machines shows again why the idea of a relatively fixed labour supply, leading to falling profits, whilst valid in the medium term, is false in the long-term. If labour productivity rises, less labour is required, or put another way, its as though one worker is now equivalent to 2, 3 or more workers. In Capital I, Marx explains the way this higher productivity results in the creation of relative surplus value in two ways.

Firstly, if one producer introduces some new machine that raises the productivity of the labour they employ, it has this effect of making their labour like complex labour. In other words, it is as though the new value they create in an hour is equivalent to 2,3 or more hours labour of workers employed by other producers of that commodity. That is so because they produce 2,3, or more times the quantity of those commodities, all of which sell at the market value. Its the same as where a farmer has the benefit of more fertile land.

But, this particular advantage disappears when other producers of the commodity introduce the same machine – just as when the use of drainage and irrigation etc., raises the fertility of all land. Now, all of that labour reverts back so that it all produces an hour of new value in each hour worked. However, far more commodities are now produced in that hour so that the unit value of each commodity falls. This, in fact, is central to Marx's explanation of the real basis of the long-term tendency for the rate of profit to fall.

In other words, the value of a commodity is comprised of the value of the constant capital (materials and wear and tear of fixed capital) consumed in its production, plus the new value created by labour in its production. The latter resolves into variable capital (the value of the commodities required to reproduce labour-power) and surplus-value/profit. So, if this new value falls, as a proportion of the value of each commodity unit, as a result of the rise in productivity, but the value of constant capital (c) remains the same, then the value of constant capital rises relative to the new value created (v + s). Unless s rises relative to v (a higher rate of surplus value), s falls relative to c, and to c + v, i.e. the rate of profit falls, even if the total mass of profit rises.

But, in Theories of Surplus Value, Chapter 23, Marx points out, again, that this effect is, also, grossly overstated. Firstly, he points out that where there is a generalised technological revolution, the rise in productivity reduces the value of all those commodities that comprise the constant capital.

If “one worker produces a spinning-machine whereas previously he produced only a spindle, then the ratio of value remains the same...”

A spinning machine, spins much more yarn than a spinning wheel, so the value of the machine is much less per unit of output. What increases is the amount of material spun, in terms of its physical quantity/use value, but, as he noted, it is not these physical quantities that ultimately count, but the relationship of their respective values.

“For us, however, the main thing is: does this fact explain the decline in the rate of profit? (A decline, incidentally, which is far smaller than it is said to be.) Here it is not simply a question of the quantitative ratio but of the value ratio.”

The technical composition of capital is what lies, objectively, behind the rise in the organic composition required to drive the long-run tendency for the rate of profit to fall, i.e. rising productivity means that the physical quantity of material processed rises relative to both the labour required to process it, and the fixed capital which brings about the higher productivity. But, that ignores the role of that rise in productivity in relation to the value of that material itself.

“The cheapening of raw materials, and of auxiliary materials; etc., checks but does not cancel the growth in the value of this part of capital. It checks it to the degree that it brings about a fall in profit.”

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Let Piddington Go

I wrote a while ago that the logic of nationalism leads to a break-up of the nation state.  In the last few days that has been born out.

On the one hand, we have the nationalists in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, demanding that the British nation state be broken up, reversing the main progressive development of the 18th/19th century, largely now driven by the reality imposed by the reactionary English nationalism that led to Brexit.  In England itself, that same failure of Brexit leads to a similar drive towards regionalism, provincialism and parochialism, as seen in the attempts to create regional and metropolitan fiefdoms in the guise of elected mayors.

The ultimate idiocy of that has now come in the form of the referendum in Piddington, again driven by the inevitable failure of Brexit to "bring back control", leading the reactionary bigots, and racists to put forward such a solution rather than have refugees housed in their midst.  The well-healed of the area, of course take the same attitude to many other issues, wanting all the benefits of their rural idylls, without any of the attendant infrastructure.

Well, we should let them go, as they claim to want.  The sooner the better.  Let them then have to pay for their own infrastructure, energy supplies, water supplies, waste services, NHS and so on.  And, of course, they would have no rights to employment outside their borders, or even right to cross that border.  Brexit proved a disaster within weeks, and continues to be so.  The proponents of a Passport to Piddington, would not even get that project off the ground.

Anti-Duhring, Part III – Socialism, II – Theoretical - Part 7

In a joint-stock company/corporation, these same laws of capital apply, but the nature of the ruling-class, today, as a class of parasitic owners of fictitious-capital, brings about the new contradictory social relations referred to earlier. Industrial capital, to be competitive, in the global market, must continually accumulate, and each individual capital must seek to accumulate at a faster pace than its competitors. To do that, it must make more profits and/or retain more profit to use for the purpose of accumulation.

But, the accumulation of industrial capital, as Marx describes in Theories of Surplus Value, Chapter 21, is faster than the growth of the population (labour supply/social working-day).

“We have seen that over 20 years, capital increased sevenfold, whereas, even according to the “most extreme” assumption of Malthus, the population can only double itself every twenty-five years. But let us assume that it doubles itself in twenty years, and therefore the working population as well. Taking one year with another, the interest would have to be 30 per cent—three times greater than it is. If one assumes, however, that the rate of exploitation remained unchanged, in 20 years the doubled population would only be able to produce twice as much labour as it did previously (and [the new generation] would be unfit for work during a considerable part of these 20 years, scarcely during half this period would it be able to work, in spite of the employment of children); it would therefore produce only twice as much surplus labour, but not three times as much.”

Marx uses the term “interest”, here, rather than profit, because he is analysing the argument of Hodgskin, who used that term.

Adam Smith had noted this point, and extrapolated from it the conclusion that the market price of capital (profit) must fall, and the price of labour (wages) must rise, eventually eliminating profit completely. It formed the basis of his explanation for the long-term falling rate of profit. As Marx sets out, in Theories of Surplus Value, Chapter 21, early advocates of labour such as Hodgskin, made a similar argument. Marx sets out why this explanation for the long-term tendency for the rate of profit to fall, which relies on the mass of profit itself being reduced, absolutely or relatively, compared to wages, is wrong. Basically, the argument that the mass of profit must fall, as it hits a buffer of inadequate labour supply, assumes that the labour supply, itself, is relatively fixed. In the long-term, it isn't. Ricardo had already set out what was wrong with that aspect of Smith's argument. Ricardo noted that, where labour is plentiful, capital will use it inefficiently, because its cheap. He uses the example of women pulling canal barges, because they were cheaper than horses.

However, at some point, as industrial capital expands, this existing supply of cheap labour does, indeed, as Smith had argued, begin to run out. The demand for labour rises, and, as seen in Britain, and every subsequent industrialisation, the supply is increased, as labour displaced from the land is drawn into the towns. Nor is the supply of labour only a question of the number of available labourers. It is also a question of how long each worker works. In other word, the labour supply/social working-day, is comprised of the working-day multiplied by the number of workers.

So, industrial capital increases the labour supply/social working-day by, on the one hand, drawing into the workforce all of these latent reserves from the countryside, and, on the other, it, also, lengthens the working-day to previously unheard of levels. So, the mass of surplus value rises, as a result of this rise in absolute surplus-value. In Capital I, drawing extensively on the work done by Engels in The Condition of The Working Class, Marx describes this process, and the way industrial capital used this cheap labour wastefully, until it was used up.

"Agents were appointed with the consent of the Poor Law Commissioners. ... An office was set up in Manchester, to which lists were sent of those workpeople in the agricultural districts wanting employment, and their names were registered in books. The manufacturers attended at these offices, and selected such persons as they chose; when they had selected such persons as their ‘wants required’, they gave instructions to have them forwarded to Manchester, and they were sent, ticketed like bales of goods, by canals, or with carriers, others tramping on the road, and many of them were found on the way lost and half-starved. This system had grown up unto a regular trade. This House will hardly believe it, but I tell them, that this traffic in human flesh was as well kept up, they were in effect as regularly sold to these [Manchester] manufacturers as slaves are sold to the cotton-grower in the United States.... In 1860, ‘the cotton trade was at its zenith.’ ... The manufacturers again found that they were short of hands.... They applied to the ‘flesh agents, as they are called. Those agents sent to the southern downs of England, to the pastures of Dorsetshire, to the glades of Devonshire, to the people tending kine in Wiltshire, but they sought in vain. The surplus-population was ‘absorbed.’”

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