Ukraine sits on the Eastern border of the EU, and western border of the Eurasian economy. Even inside Ukraine, its Western and Central populations look mostly to the EU, whilst its Eastern populations look East. The fact that those Eastern populations are mainly ethnic Russians, who have also suffered oppression at the hands of the government in Kyiv, simply provides a political reflection of these underlying material conditions. Similar conditions apply in other economies lying along this fault line between the EU, and Eurasia, as I have described in the past. None of these economies are some kind of pre-imperialist state, as the petty-bourgeois nationalists, and apologists of the USC would have us believe. Lenin, set out, in Left-wing Childishness, what imperialist capital is. It is large-scale, socialised industrial capital, such as had arisen by the latter part of the 19th century, and which required an ever expanding single-market, as described earlier, to justify its large-scale production, and long-term investments. It required the state to plan and regulate the economy to that end, i.e. it becomes state-monopoly capitalism.
“To make things even clearer, let us first of all take the most concrete example of state capitalism. Everybody knows what this example is. It is Germany. Here we have “the last word” in modern large-scale capitalist engineering and planned organisation, subordinated to Junker-bourgeois imperialism. Cross out the words in italics, and in place of the militarist, Junker, bourgeois, imperialist state put also a state, but of a different social type, of a different class content—a Soviet state, that is, a proletarian state, and you will have the sum total of the conditions necessary for socialism.”
And, by the early part of the 20th century, all developed capitalist economies were characterised by this imperialist capital. As Trotsky put it, talking about Czechoslovakia, and the Sudetenland, which offers a compelling comparison with Ukraine, today,
“Even irrespective of its international ties Czechoslovakia constitutes a thoroughly imperialist state. Economically, monopoly capitalism reigns there. Politically, the Czech bourgeoisie dominates (perhaps soon we will have to say, dominated!) several oppressed nationalities. Such a war, even on the part of isolated Czechoslovakia would thus have been carried on not for national independence but for the maintenance and if possible the extension of the borders of imperialist exploitation.”
A similar situation exists in the Middle-East and North Africa. In North Africa, and particularly on its Mediterranean coast, it has had long-standing economic relations with the EU. That is true in relation to Israel too. The EU accounts for 32% of Israel's total trade, making it its largest trading partner. Of course, the US supplies large amounts of finance to Israel, and supplies it with the bulk of its military equipment, whilst the EU and UK, act as suppliers of consumables for that US military hardware.
Israel is by far the most developed imperialist economy in the Middle-East and North Africa, and as such, given its connections with the EU, and US imperialism, it is the obvious vehicle by which an imperialist economic bloc in the region is created. US and EU imperialism would clearly prefer such a new bloc to arise peacefully and voluntarily, which is what the Abraham Accords, are about, but, again, the reality of history, and material conditions, assert themselves into that desire. Industrial capital is largely concentrated in the Northern parts of MENA, whilst the Gulf states continue to be dominated by oil extraction, and as noted earlier, their more recent economic development has focused on services for the global elite. The Gulf states have very small populations, making them often dependent on migrant workers. In many ways, this is the same pattern as arose with the northern US industrial states using the Southern US states, Russia using Siberia, Britain using Ireland, and so on.
The problem for the Gulf states, in particular, in progressing the Abraham Accords, and creating this imperialist politico-economic bloc in MENA, is the continued occupation of Palestine, and genocide against the Palestinians. The latest negotiations of Trump with Saudi Arabia illustrates that. Saudi Arabia not out of any real commitment to the Palestinians, but out of fear of its own masses, and those it relies on as migrant workers, were it to be even more openly abandoning the Palestinians, has refused to sign the Accords until the Zionist state stops its genocide against Palestinians, and concrete measures are in place for the creation of a viable Palestinian state. As I wrote 40 years ago, it shows why the so called “Two-States”, i.e. two bourgeois states solution, is a delusion that places the fate of the Palestinians in the hands of powerful external imperialist powers. In addition, as I wrote more recently, the events of the last few years, show why the grisly truth is that there is no future for Palestine, and increasingly for the Palestinians.
