
The noises,
out of the
Liberal Conference, this week, sound like its
death rattle.
The Party is, to all intents and purposes,
already dead, maintained
only by the
life support system, provided to it by the
Tories, and by
a compliant press and media that continues to treat the Liberals as
though they were a separate party from the Tories, to allow them
representatives alongside Tories and Labour in interviews etc. But,
in reality the
Liberals and Tories are now
one party. Liberal
spokesmen this week have even proclaimed that it has been
Liberal
manifesto commitments that have been
implemented by the
Liberal-Tory
Government, more than Tory commitments. So, it is
clear who is to
blame then for all of the
austerity and misery, and
incompetence of
the
last two years – it is the
Liberals to a greater degree than
the Tories!

Two years
ago, when the
Liberals entered the coalition with the
Tories, I said
that it was like them committing
Hari Kiri.
So it has been. I said it was long overdue, and would benefit
Labour. So it has been. Very quickly, the
facade of Liberal
opportunism, which allowed them to
face both ways, at the
same time, in
order to
pick up votes, was exposed. The
true nature of the
Liberals
was
exposed along with it, as they
scrambled for ministerial posts
and limousines. Their opposition to austerity, held to even into the
coalition negotiations, was quickly dropped, and the Orange Book
Liberals, like
David Laws, were distinguished from their
Tory
partners only by their
even more overt free market positions. What
few principles the
Liberals might have had were quickly
dropped, as
was their almost
sworn in blood pledge to vote against any increase
in
Tuition Fees. They have
conceded position after position on
everything that mattered
to the Tories, whilst acting as
loyal foot
soldiers for the Tories on
everything that did matter.
Not
surprisingly, as I predicted, all those middle class radical votes,
they had picked up on the back of their social liberal faced politics,
disappeared, either to Labour, or to abstention. The opportunist
politics of the Liberals had led them to adopt the persona of a
radical alternative to Labour, where Labour was strong. On the back
of that, they not only picked up votes from middle -class radicals,
but a lot of their members came from this milieu too, not
infrequently from ex-members of far left organisations. Those
members disappeared just as quickly. Labour picked up many of these
activists.
 |
Liberals return To Benthamite
traditions. |
So, the
dichotomy within the Liberals, which was the
material foundation of
that
opportunism, the division between
traditional Free Market
Liberalism, and
Social Democratic, Social Liberalism, was
resolved in
the only way it could be in a coalition with the Tories;
in favour of
the former. The dichotomy only
now exists in a
shadow form, largely
for the
purposes of trying to provide some kind of
distinction from
the Tories for the
sake of appearances. So, for example, Liberal
spokesmen like
Vince Cable, and even
Clegg have come out over the
weekend with calls for
increased taxes on the rich. In fact, there
is
nothing particularly radical about such proposals. As
Marx
pointed out, arguing against the
Lassalleans in his,
Critique Of The Gotha Programme,
“Taxes
are the economic basis of the government machinery and of nothing
else. In the state of the future, existing in Switzerland, this
demand has been pretty well fulfilled. Income tax presupposes various
sources of income of the various social classes, and hence capitalist
society. It is, therefore, nothing remarkable that the Liverpool
financial reformers — bourgeois headed by Gladstone's brother —
are putting forward the same demand as the program.”
Its not
radical for the reason Marx was alluding to here. The distribution
of income and wealth is a function of the mode of production, and so
long as the means of production are in the hands of a tiny few, the
majority of income and wealth will continue to flow to them, whatever
measures are taken in regards to tax. As Marx put it in the above,

“
Any
distribution whatever of the means of consumption is only a
consequence of the distribution of the conditions of production
themselves. The latter distribution, however, is a feature of the
mode of production itself. The capitalist mode of production, for
example, rests on the fact that the material conditions of production
are in the hands of nonworkers in the form of property in capital and
land, while the masses are only owners of the personal condition of
production, of labor power. If the elements of production are so
distributed, then the present-day distribution of the means of
consumption results automatically. If the material conditions of
production are the co-operative property of the workers themselves,
then there likewise results a distribution of the means of
consumption different from the present one. Vulgar socialism (and
from it in turn a section of the democrats) has taken over from the
bourgeois economists the consideration and treatment of distribution
as independent of the mode of production and hence the presentation
of socialism as turning principally on distribution.”
Whether it
is by
tax avoidance, or
other means any
attempt to redistribute
wealth via the tax system under capitalism
is doomed, which is why in
more than a century of trying to do it, the
gap between rich and
poor, affluent and deprived in Britain has widened rather than
shrunk. But,
Clegg and Cable know that the chance of getting this
Cabinet of millionaires and
Public School toffs, who
see the
rest of
society merely as a
bunch of plebs, to introduce any measures that
seriously tax their kind are none existent. On the contrary, it is
the
Tories who
persuaded the Liberals to vote through the
cut in the
top rate of tax, and at the same time to
impose a
massive increase in
the
tax burden on the
rest of society via the more than
10% increase
in VAT!
And, when
questioned, the Liberal-Tories like Laws, have admitted that what
they are really saying is not that they want the tax on the rich to
be increased rather than further attacks on the welfare benefits of
the poorest in society, but that they want some increased taxes on
the rich as a condition for voting for even more cuts on welfare
benefits! In other words, what they are after is not some relief for
the poorest in society, but some relief for their electoral fortunes,
by being able to claim that they won some minor concession from the
Tories!

But, this
just shows what a
hopeless position the
Liberals are now in. They
have
lost the
votes of the
radical middle class won by virtue of
their
duplicitous behaviour over the years in
pretending that they
were
some kind of radical alternative to Labour. Those
votes, and
most of those
members are
not coming back. So, logically, the
Liberals should then
concentrate on securing the votes of the
real
Liberal supporters, the traditional
free market Liberals, and
Libertarians. But, they cannot do that, because the
Tories have
already shot that fox. The
only way the
Liberals can
differentiate
themselves from the
Tories is by
harking back to the
social
Liberalism, which they
abandoned in going into
coalition with the
Tories in the first place! That is the
meaning of Cable and Clegg's
calls for taxes on the rich. It is meaningless chatter.

Moreover,
the fact that it is
meaningless chatter was
exposed in the
Conference
itself. The extent to which the
party has been
denuded of its
radical,
social Liberal base was illustrated in the
debate and vote
over the
motion attacking the Government's economic policy and
calling for a
Plan B. The
party leaders opposed it, and the
vote
against it was
crushing. The
Orange Book, Free Market Liberals whose
traditions hark back to all the
worst aspects of the 19th
Century, are clearly
in the ascendancy in the
Liberal Party, and
necessarily so. It could have been no other way, once they went into
coalition with the Tories, and sent themselves on an
inevitable
course either to
oblivion, or else to simply being
absorbed into the
Tories themselves. Either way, it means the
Liberals are dead as an
independent party.

But, as I
also pointed out in my post
Time For Labour To Euthenise The Liberals
the last thing that
Labour should be doing is to provide the Liberals
with any kind of
lifeline. The establishment of the
SDP in the
1980's, and their
alliance with the Liberals tore the Labour Party in
two. It did so because it
split the Labour vote, and provided the
right inside the LP with an
opportunity to argue the need for
moving to the centre so as
not to lose votes. If the
Liberals are
destroyed, the
potential for
that happening again is
destroyed with it. Instead, today it is the
Tories that have that problem. On the one hand, for now, they need
to
keep the Liberal leaders as part of the coalition, because if it
breaks, they will
lose an election. On the other,
any sign that they
are making
concessions to the Liberals angers the Tory Right, some of
whom are already
dallying with UKIP, who have
moved above the
Liberals in the opinion polls.

In fact,
rather than holding out any
olive branch to the Liberals,
Labour
should tack to the Left in order to
heighten the problems for the
Tories. If Labour makes
a tactical shift slightly to the Left, it
will put
pressure on the Liberals to do likewise for their own
opportunist, electoral reasons. That will put
further strain on
Cameron, and his
relations with the Tory Right. If Labour are lucky
it
might even cause a split from the Tories
towards UKIP, which would
seriously split the
right of centre vote, and
provide Labour with a
shoe in at the
next election. Labour are already
way ahead in the
polls, so there is
no reason for them to provide any kind of
concessions to the
Liberals, just to pick up a
few MP's support. In
any case, the
Liberals are now
so toxic in politics, that were Labour
to in any way associate with them, they would poison themselves.

The
Liberals
chatter this week, from
Cable about
British voters only voting for
Coalitions in future is
nonsense. On present standings
Labour should
win an
outright majority. Cable's pronouncements are merely a
last
gasp hope, and an attempt to suggest that he would be
prepared to
form a coalition with Labour after the
next election, were he Liberal
leader. Just as
Boris Johnson is the
Crapulinski in the
wings
of the Tory Party, waiting for the
demise of Cameron, so Cable is
waiting in the wings for the
demise of Clegg. Such is the
nature of
bourgeois electoral politics, which revolves around the
personal
interests and fortunes of a few
elected politicians rather than the
fate of the millions of others of
us plebs.
2 comments:
Ironically, the LibDems impending doom may cause their future rump to accentuate the Orange Book tendencies and try and outflank the Tories on the right, presenting themselves as classical liberals, much as the FDP has done in Germany.
Without PR, there is little likelihood of a centre party holding the balance of power any time soon. This might present an interesting choice for the Tories in future: they could ally with either the LibDems or UKIP, but probably not both.
David,
Possibly, as I said the rational thing for them to do would be to do something like that i.e. to appeal to the traditional Libertarian Right. There may be some hope for them there. The Tea Party in the US, began after a rant (I've posted it somewhere) by CNBC's Rick Santelli from the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He appealed to these kinds of Misean/Hayeckian principles that Thatcher adopted early on, before she switched to Friedmanite Monetarism as a means of inflating the economy in the late 80's.
The problem is that the US has a long tradition of that kind of individualism, which Britain does not have. I doubt there is much room to the Right of the Tories apart from what is already taken by UKIP and the BNP.
So, as I've written before, I see the Liberal base continuing to erode if not collapsing, with many of the MP's and Councillors (where they still exist) just being merged with the Tories. But, i think even those Libertairian principles will cause the Tories problems. The Libertarian Free Market ideas, which also lead the Liberals towards being Europhiles, is anathema to the Nationalistic, protectionist wing of the Tories, who could indeed be pushed more rapidly towards UKIP.
On present showing it looks like a Labour majority government to me, with the Liberals devastated, and merged in with the Tories. Unless there is a sizeable split of the Tories to UKIP, my guess is that despite their poll rating they will be as much a busted flush as the BNP come the next election.
I see all this as a reflection of the material reality of an intra class struggle between Money Capital and Productive Industrial Capital. The former has had dominance for the last 30 years, the latter is seeking to overturn it.
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