Two years
ago, when the Liberals entered the coalition with the Tories, I said
that it was like them committing
Hari Kiri.
So it has been. I said it was long overdue, and would benefit
Labour. So it has been. Very quickly, the facade of Liberal
opportunism, which allowed them to face both ways, at the same time, in
order to pick up votes, was exposed. The true nature of the Liberals
was exposed along with it, as they scrambled for ministerial posts
and limousines. Their opposition to austerity, held to even into the
coalition negotiations, was quickly dropped, and the Orange Book
Liberals, like David Laws, were distinguished from their Tory
partners only by their even more overt free market positions. What
few principles the Liberals might have had were quickly dropped, as
was their almost sworn in blood pledge to vote against any increase
in Tuition Fees. They have conceded position after position on
everything that mattered to the Tories, whilst acting as loyal foot
soldiers for the Tories on everything that did matter.
Not
surprisingly, as I predicted, all those middle class radical votes,
they had picked up on the back of their social liberal faced politics,
disappeared, either to Labour, or to abstention. The opportunist
politics of the Liberals had led them to adopt the persona of a
radical alternative to Labour, where Labour was strong. On the back
of that, they not only picked up votes from middle -class radicals,
but a lot of their members came from this milieu too, not
infrequently from ex-members of far left organisations. Those
members disappeared just as quickly. Labour picked up many of these
activists.
Liberals return To Benthamite traditions. |
“Taxes
are the economic basis of the government machinery and of nothing
else. In the state of the future, existing in Switzerland, this
demand has been pretty well fulfilled. Income tax presupposes various
sources of income of the various social classes, and hence capitalist
society. It is, therefore, nothing remarkable that the Liverpool
financial reformers — bourgeois headed by Gladstone's brother —
are putting forward the same demand as the program.”
Its not
radical for the reason Marx was alluding to here. The distribution
of income and wealth is a function of the mode of production, and so
long as the means of production are in the hands of a tiny few, the
majority of income and wealth will continue to flow to them, whatever
measures are taken in regards to tax. As Marx put it in the above,
“Any
distribution whatever of the means of consumption is only a
consequence of the distribution of the conditions of production
themselves. The latter distribution, however, is a feature of the
mode of production itself. The capitalist mode of production, for
example, rests on the fact that the material conditions of production
are in the hands of nonworkers in the form of property in capital and
land, while the masses are only owners of the personal condition of
production, of labor power. If the elements of production are so
distributed, then the present-day distribution of the means of
consumption results automatically. If the material conditions of
production are the co-operative property of the workers themselves,
then there likewise results a distribution of the means of
consumption different from the present one. Vulgar socialism (and
from it in turn a section of the democrats) has taken over from the
bourgeois economists the consideration and treatment of distribution
as independent of the mode of production and hence the presentation
of socialism as turning principally on distribution.”
Whether it
is by tax avoidance, or other means any attempt to redistribute
wealth via the tax system under capitalism is doomed, which is why in
more than a century of trying to do it, the gap between rich and
poor, affluent and deprived in Britain has widened rather than
shrunk. But, Clegg and Cable know that the chance of getting this
Cabinet of millionaires and Public School toffs, who see the rest of
society merely as a bunch of plebs, to introduce any measures that
seriously tax their kind are none existent. On the contrary, it is
the Tories who persuaded the Liberals to vote through the cut in the
top rate of tax, and at the same time to impose a massive increase in
the tax burden on the rest of society via the more than 10% increase
in VAT!
And, when
questioned, the Liberal-Tories like Laws, have admitted that what
they are really saying is not that they want the tax on the rich to
be increased rather than further attacks on the welfare benefits of
the poorest in society, but that they want some increased taxes on
the rich as a condition for voting for even more cuts on welfare
benefits! In other words, what they are after is not some relief for
the poorest in society, but some relief for their electoral fortunes,
by being able to claim that they won some minor concession from the
Tories!
But, this
just shows what a hopeless position the Liberals are now in. They
have lost the votes of the radical middle class won by virtue of
their duplicitous behaviour over the years in pretending that they
were some kind of radical alternative to Labour. Those votes, and
most of those members are not coming back. So, logically, the
Liberals should then concentrate on securing the votes of the real
Liberal supporters, the traditional free market Liberals, and
Libertarians. But, they cannot do that, because the Tories have
already shot that fox. The only way the Liberals can differentiate
themselves from the Tories is by harking back to the social
Liberalism, which they abandoned in going into coalition with the
Tories in the first place! That is the meaning of Cable and Clegg's
calls for taxes on the rich. It is meaningless chatter.
Moreover,
the fact that it is meaningless chatter was exposed in the Conference
itself. The extent to which the party has been denuded of its
radical, social Liberal base was illustrated in the debate and vote
over the motion attacking the Government's economic policy and
calling for a Plan B. The party leaders opposed it, and the vote
against it was crushing. The Orange Book, Free Market Liberals whose
traditions hark back to all the worst aspects of the 19th
Century, are clearly in the ascendancy in the Liberal Party, and
necessarily so. It could have been no other way, once they went into
coalition with the Tories, and sent themselves on an inevitable
course either to oblivion, or else to simply being absorbed into the
Tories themselves. Either way, it means the Liberals are dead as an
independent party.
But, as I
also pointed out in my post
Time For Labour To Euthenise The Liberals
the last thing that Labour should be doing is to provide the Liberals
with any kind of lifeline. The establishment of the SDP in the
1980's, and their alliance with the Liberals tore the Labour Party in
two. It did so because it split the Labour vote, and provided the
right inside the LP with an opportunity to argue the need for moving to the centre so as
not to lose votes. If the Liberals are destroyed, the potential for
that happening again is destroyed with it. Instead, today it is the
Tories that have that problem. On the one hand, for now, they need
to keep the Liberal leaders as part of the coalition, because if it
breaks, they will lose an election. On the other, any sign that they
are making concessions to the Liberals angers the Tory Right, some of
whom are already dallying with UKIP, who have moved above the
Liberals in the opinion polls.
In fact,
rather than holding out any olive branch to the Liberals, Labour
should tack to the Left in order to heighten the problems for the
Tories. If Labour makes a tactical shift slightly to the Left, it
will put pressure on the Liberals to do likewise for their own
opportunist, electoral reasons. That will put further strain on
Cameron, and his relations with the Tory Right. If Labour are lucky
it might even cause a split from the Tories towards UKIP, which would
seriously split the right of centre vote, and provide Labour with a
shoe in at the next election. Labour are already way ahead in the
polls, so there is no reason for them to provide any kind of
concessions to the Liberals, just to pick up a few MP's support. In
any case, the Liberals are now so toxic in politics, that were Labour
to in any way associate with them, they would poison themselves.
The Liberals
chatter this week, from Cable about British voters only voting for
Coalitions in future is nonsense. On present standings Labour should
win an outright majority. Cable's pronouncements are merely a last
gasp hope, and an attempt to suggest that he would be prepared to
form a coalition with Labour after the next election, were he Liberal
leader. Just as Boris Johnson is the Crapulinski in the wings
of the Tory Party, waiting for the demise of Cameron, so Cable is
waiting in the wings for the demise of Clegg. Such is the nature of
bourgeois electoral politics, which revolves around the personal
interests and fortunes of a few elected politicians rather than the
fate of the millions of others of us plebs.
Ironically, the LibDems impending doom may cause their future rump to accentuate the Orange Book tendencies and try and outflank the Tories on the right, presenting themselves as classical liberals, much as the FDP has done in Germany.
ReplyDeleteWithout PR, there is little likelihood of a centre party holding the balance of power any time soon. This might present an interesting choice for the Tories in future: they could ally with either the LibDems or UKIP, but probably not both.
David,
ReplyDeletePossibly, as I said the rational thing for them to do would be to do something like that i.e. to appeal to the traditional Libertarian Right. There may be some hope for them there. The Tea Party in the US, began after a rant (I've posted it somewhere) by CNBC's Rick Santelli from the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He appealed to these kinds of Misean/Hayeckian principles that Thatcher adopted early on, before she switched to Friedmanite Monetarism as a means of inflating the economy in the late 80's.
The problem is that the US has a long tradition of that kind of individualism, which Britain does not have. I doubt there is much room to the Right of the Tories apart from what is already taken by UKIP and the BNP.
So, as I've written before, I see the Liberal base continuing to erode if not collapsing, with many of the MP's and Councillors (where they still exist) just being merged with the Tories. But, i think even those Libertairian principles will cause the Tories problems. The Libertarian Free Market ideas, which also lead the Liberals towards being Europhiles, is anathema to the Nationalistic, protectionist wing of the Tories, who could indeed be pushed more rapidly towards UKIP.
On present showing it looks like a Labour majority government to me, with the Liberals devastated, and merged in with the Tories. Unless there is a sizeable split of the Tories to UKIP, my guess is that despite their poll rating they will be as much a busted flush as the BNP come the next election.
I see all this as a reflection of the material reality of an intra class struggle between Money Capital and Productive Industrial Capital. The former has had dominance for the last 30 years, the latter is seeking to overturn it.