The
idea put forward by some that such Keynesian policies are doomed to
failure is also based upon the repetition of mantras rather than
analysis of the current situation. It confuses the long-term with
the short-term. For Marxists, of course, its true that there can be
no crisis-free capitalism, and ultimately, therefore, Keynesian
intervention cannot resolve, or even cut short such crises. But, as
Keynes himself said, “In
the long run we are all dead.” The
fact, that Keynesian intervention cannot create a crisis-free
capitalism, does not at all mean that under specific conditions, it
cannot cut short such crises, as indeed it did between 1947-74, and
did again after 2008.
To
oppose such intervention on the basis that it is not a socialist
solution, is just as much an ultra-left position as to oppose a
strike on the same basis, and because, therefore, to use Marx's
words, “they
are fighting with effects, but not with the causes of those effects;
that they are retarding the downward movement, but not changing its
direction; that they are applying palliatives, not curing the
malady.” (Value, Price and Profit). The
same thing applies to the election of social-democratic governments.
Such governments,
like the Labour governments of 1945-51, 1964-70, 1974-79, 1997-2010,
are not governments that represent the interests of workers, and so
the warning given by Engels, about a class party assuming power
prematurely does not apply. Those governments, as with similar
Democrat governments in the US, were never elected as some kind of
Workers Government. Social democratic parties are bourgeois parties, that represent the interests of big industrial capital, but that rely on the support of industrial workers.
Those
parties, as with all social-democratic parties, are a crystallisation
of the ideology that is the basis of the bourgeois social-democratic
state. That is that they represent the interests not of workers but
of big industrial capital. The interests of workers are only seen as
being advanced as a consequence of the advance of big industrial
capital itself, and so the interests of workers must always be
subordinated to that goal. After more than 100 years experience of
social democracy, big industrial capital is well aware of that fact,
and so there is no reason why it should see such governments as a
threat. On the contrary, they are the means of its interests being
pursued! The fact that, at times, such governments appear more “left”
than at others is only a reflection of the material conditions, in
which they operate, including the political realities that exist
within a bourgeois social democracy, that revolve around the need to
win a sufficient number of votes from workers.
The
politics of Roosevelt's “New Deal” were driven by the needs of
big US industrial capital at the time, just as much as the turn away
from Keynesian intervention by Callaghan's Labour Government, towards
Monetarism in the 1970's, was driven by the same interests, in
conditions when Keynesian intervention alone could no longer meet
those needs. In fact, the policies of left social democracy, at that
time, represented by the Alternative Economic Strategy, were probably
more in tune with the interests of big industrial capital than was
the policy of Callaghan.
The main and decisive weakness of the AES, from this perspective, for big industrial capital, was the nationalistic nature of the programme, centred around protectionism, import controls and exit from the EU. It was on this basis that division within the LP developed, so that the pursuance of the truly social democratic elements of the programme were thrown out alongside the conservative, nationalistic elements. The timidity of the Labour Party, in
failing to pursue the social-democratic elements of the programme, as for example happened in Germany, opened the door to the forces of conservatism,
whose emphasis was most certainly not the interests of big industrial
capital, large swathes of which they saw physically destroyed, in
order to build up huge mountains of fictitious capital, thereby
pursuing the interests of interest-bearing capital, which is one of
the foundations of their support.
Ironically, the AES opened a division within the Labour Party, because of its conservative, nationalistic core, which prevented the adoption of the social-democratic ideas contained within it. That ultimately led to the election of Thatcher, which itself opened the door to the kind of conservative, nationalistic ideology
that undermined the further development of the EU. The development of the EU, as an increasingly centralised, single state, was fundamentally in the interests of big industrial capital. The frustration, over the last 25-30 years, of that development, due to the rise of conservative forces, has significantly
weakened the position of EU industrial capital, both vis a vis US
industrial capital, and Asian industrial capital. That fact is demonstrated
by the poor economic performance of the EU, compared to other parts of
the global economy, and most manifest in the lack of global
competitiveness by the peripheral economies. It is also the basis of the political crisis in the EU, which in turn has caused the debt crisis, which further inhibits the accumulation of EU capital.
Marx
himself argued that such fiscal intervention, funded by debt could be
a powerful source of capital accumulation.
“The
public debt becomes one of the most powerful levers of primitive
accumulation.”
(Capital I, Chapter 31)
That
view is backed up by the extent of the UK debt to GDP ratio of 250%
that existed in 1800, and far from being an impediment to growth in
the following period, was a requirement of it. The same can be seen
with the similar figure for debt to GDP in the UK in 1945, which
again was not an impediment to the expansion of the economy in the
following period, but was again an integral part of the required
capital investment in social capital, in relation to the
rationalisation of core industries in coal, steel and so on, and the
establishment of a welfare state to provide the labour-power that a
modern industrialised capitalist economy required.
None
of that means that such social-democratic policies will not face
political opposition, just as Obama's social-democratic policies in
the US have faced opposition from the Tea Party, but it is important
to understand the lines of battle. The opposition to Obamacare, for
example, was not an opposition based on the interests of big
industrial capital. On the contrary, the representatives of the
major US industrial corporations, for example the car companies, had
complained for years that they faced a huge competitive problem,
because they had to fund expensive private health care insurance, for
their workers, whereas their European competitors did not, as they
benefited from socialised healthcare systems that bore that cost.
The
opposition to the kinds of social-democratic programme that Syriza is
proposing does not come from big industrial capital, which ultimately
is the dominant form of capital, because it is the producer of nearly
all surplus value, including that siphoned off by interest-bearing
capital, it comes from those conservative forces that represent the
interests of the more backward sections of capital, and those
associated with it, as well as those whose interests are directly
threatened – the interests of interest-bearing capital, whose
mountain of fictitious capital is likely to be vaporised, and of
landed property, whose value is inextricably linked to that build up
of fictitious capital.
Once
those battle lines are drawn, setting out a strategy for dealing with
the opposition is an easier task.
Back To Part 6
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