Donald Trump
has just become the seventh US President in a row, starting with
Jimmy Carter, to undertake military action in the Middle East. In
every case, the consequence has been to make things worse. Yet,
rather like financial pundits and stock market bubbles, we are told
each time, that “this time its different”. And, each
time, of course it is not different, each time, the liberal
interventionists shriek with moral outrage at some atrocity, that
means that “something must be done”. What they really
mean is not that “something must be done” that would actually
make a real difference to make things better, but that “something
must be done” salve their
consciences.
And,
of course, their moral outrage is always filled with complete
hypocrisy. A large part of the problems of conflict in areas of the
globe such as in the Middle East, Africa and Asia stems from the
policies of colonialism that liberal capitalism and mercantilism
pursued in previous centuries, in a greedy search for commercial
profits, interest and rent. In the twentieth century, many of the
butchers that have been in place, and carried out atrocities against
their people, are butchers that were either put in place, or féted
by the so called “democratic”
imperialist states of the West. Even today, the liberal
interventionists are very selective in whose actions they express
moral outrage against, and demand action against.
They
express no moral outrage against the butchers and despots of the Gulf
monarchies, for example. On the contrary, despite the fact that they
provide the money, arms, weapons and ideas of the Islamist terror
groups such as ISIS, and Al Qaeda, Britain and the US supply them
weapons and training, and the US is assisting them in bombing
“beautiful babies” in Yemen. No such moral outrage is express
against the use of “white phosphorous”
against Palestinian “beautiful babies”, by the Bonapartist
butchers in Israel. Instead, anyone who even suggests criticism of
their actions is labelled “anti-Semitic”
!So long as the butchers are carrying out butchery in the general
strategic interests of western powers, they are fine, it appears.
The
US provided Saddam Hussein with chemical weapons, and advice on how
best to use them, for example, when he was being used as a tool of US
foreign policy to fight a war against Iran, in which millions died.
The US used Osama Bin Laden, and provided him with weapons to fight
the Russians in Afghanistan, and then used him as a go between with
the butchers, and criminals of the Kosovan Liberal Army, to stir up
ethnic violence in Kosovo between Serbs and Albanians, which then
provided the US with an excuse for intervention, in Kosovo, which
simply replaced pogroms against Albanians by Milosevic's forces, with
pogroms and ethnic cleansing of Kosovan Serbs by Albania forces,
whilst NATO watched on.
The
same consequence occurred in Iraq, where the dominance of Sunnis,
backed up by the Sunni regimes of the Gulf, was replaced by Shia
domination, and an oppression of Sunnis that opened the door to
support for ISIS within Sunni communities. Its not that the
“democratic”
imperialist powers want there to be no strongmen, in charge, only
that the strongmen in charge, are their strongmen, reliably acting in
their interests. In that case, moral outrage at atrocities can be
set aside, or we are told, can only be dealt with over time, by
dialogue, and increased trade and arms sales, so as to “exert
influence”.
As
Trotsky put it back in the 1930's explaining why it was crass and
superficial to back “democratic”
imperialism even against a fascistic dictator.
“I will take the most simple and obvious
example. In Brazil there now reigns a semi fascist regime that every
revolutionary can only view with hatred. Let us assume, however, that
on the morrow England enters into a military conflict with Brazil. I
ask you on whose side of the conflict will the working class be? I
will answer for myself personally—in this case I will be on the
side of “fascist” Brazil against “democratic” Great Britain.
Why? Because in the conflict between them it will not be a question
of democracy or fascism. If England should be victorious, she will
put another fascist in Rio de Janeiro and will place double chains on
Brazil. If Brazil on the contrary should be victorious, it will give
a mighty impulse to national and democratic consciousness of the
country and will lead to the overthrow of the Vargas dictatorship.
The defeat of England will at the same time deliver a blow to British
imperialism and will give an impulse to the revolutionary movement of
the British proletariat. Truly, one must have an empty head to reduce
world antagonisms and military conflicts to the struggle between
fascism and democracy. Under all masks one must know how to
distinguish exploiters, slave-owners, and robbers!
(Trotsky - Anti-Imperialist Struggle is key to
Liberation, Writings 1938-9)
And Trotsky had
personal experience of such liberal intervention going back to his
time as a war correspondent in the Balkans in the period leading up
to World War I. Then to the liberal interventionists were full of
moral outrage at the atrocities being committed, by the ruling
Ottomans. And, then as now, as Trotsky sets out the liberal media
were very selective about the outrages they covered, and when Trotsky
and other journalists sent back reports of the outrages being
committed by the liberal interventionists themselves, their reports
were censored.
In his writings on the
Balkan Wars, Trotsky describes this censorship by the liberal media.
“Your
censorship has not pursued military aims, it has not been concerned
to safeguard military secrets, but rather to conceal 'secrets' of
quite a different order: all the black spots, all the cruelties and
crimes, all the infamies that accompany every war, and your war in
particular. That is what you have striven above all to hide from
Europe! You have indulged in the senseless dream of hypnotising
European public opinion and making it believe not what was true, not
what you yourselves know to be true, but what you wanted to get
accepted as true. You wanted to make Europe believe that the armed
Turkish peasants, workers and hamals (porters) whom the ruling
caste of Turkey transforms into an instrument for enslaving the
non-Turkish nationalities, and the Turkish working masses, constitute
100 percent embodiments of cruelty, barbarism, and bestiality. And
you wanted to make Europe believe that the Bulgarian army – from
the lowest-ranking soldier working in the cookhouse up to commander
in chief Savov, from whose brow you have not managed to wipe the
stamp of that indictment for embezzlement, that the whole of this
army constitutes a living embodiment of the highest ideals of right
and justice.” (p 282-2)
“You
defined your war as a crusade for civilisation against barbarism.
You strove, with your pencils and scissors, to adjust all our
telegrams and correspondence to those two categories. But now Europe
will learn that the path of the crusading army was marked by crimes
that must evoke shudders and nausea in every cultured person, in
everyone capable of feeling and thinking.” (p 282-3)
And
today, the liberal
interventionists have a greater difficulty, because whether it is in
Iraq, or Libya, or Syria, it is not even a question of being able to
side with “democratic”
forces but of opposing both some ruling Bonapartists, and,
opposing the Islamist terrorists opposing the Bonapartist regimes!
The liberal interventionists square this circle by dreaming up their
own, fantasy “democratic”
forces, who they claim will then fill the void.
In
Iraq, the CIA and the State Department had for years cultivated their
own “democratic”
politicians, who they envisaged could simply be slotted into position
once Saddam was removed. In fact, none of the US's chosen candidates
came anywhere near being able to fill that role, as the country, as
any first year Politics
student could have advised them would happen, descended into
sectarian schisms, once elections were called, so that instead of a
democracy based upon the normal horizontal cleavages of class and
status that exist within bourgeois social democracies, the vertical
cleavages along lines of religion, ethnicity, and tribe were blown
wide open, and could only be resolved by some new Bonapartist figure
imposing order from above.
The
same thing happened in Libya. The liberal interventionists mistook
the passive support of a large number of unorganised, and atomised
individuals, understandably wishing for a quiet life, and some
prosperity, for active, organised mobilisation. They should have
learned from Lenin, that in practice you do not need a majority
behind you, only that the majority do not actively rise against you.
Or they should hhave learned that lesson from Trotsky in relation to
the Spanish Civil War, where he criticised the Stalinists, liberals
and social-democrats for their popular frontist approach based upon
retaining the support of the liberal bourgeoisie, when, in fact, as
he showed, that liberal bourgeois, no longer existed, apart from its
superficial political representation in parliament.
Anyone
who had studied this history, and the writings of Lenin and Trotsky
who lived through such events would have known what was likely to
happen in Iraq, in Libya, and, of course, the same thing happened in
Egypt, in line with the predictions I made at the time. In the end,
it comes down to those forces that are most organised, and
disciplined and able to enforce their will on society, and that is
never those whose political activity amounts to nothing more than
passively casting a vote every so often.
The justification for
the censorship, of the atrocities carried out by the interventionist
forces and their allies, then as now was that the interventionist
forces were undertaking actions that liberals and progressives
themselves supported, such as the liberation of peoples from Ottoman
rule. But, as Trotsky pointed out to the Russian liberal Miliukov
who justified the liberal intervention in the Balkans, and closed his
eyes to the atrocities committed by the “liberal
interventionists”,
“An individual, a group, a party, or a class that ‘objectively’
picks its nose while it watches men drunk with blood massacring
defenceless people is condemned by history to rot and become
worm-eaten while it is still alive.
“On the
other hand, a party or the class that rises up against every
abominable action wherever it has occurred, as vigorously and
unhesitatingly as a living organism reacts to protect its eyes when
they are threatened with external injury – such a party or class is
sound of heart. Protest against the outrages in the Balkans cleanses
the social atmosphere in our own country, heightens the level of
moral awareness among our own people. The working masses of the
population in every country are both a potential instrument of bloody
outrages and a potential victim of such deeds. Therefore an
uncompromising protest against atrocities serves not only the purpose
of moral self-defence on the personal and party level but also the
purpose of politically safeguarding the people against adventurism
concealed under the flag of ‘liberation’.” (p 293)
The dishonesty of the liberal interventionists is not just that they
are selective about what atrocities they express moral outrage
against, but in that they fail to actually deal with the question of
objective historical and social laws. They want to bury their head
in the sand, and pretend that we live in the best of all possible
worlds, where the will is sufficient to bring about the end. They
want to imagine that the world everywhere essentially conforms to
their own cosy middle class existence. So, they are happy to demand
or support such liberal intervention against this or that tyrant, but
they never have any plan, any thought as to what happens after the
tyrant is deposed, because they simply assume that the existence of
the tyrant was some kind of aberration from the norm that has to be
corrected, in the same way that liberals assume that monopolies are
aberrations that have to be corrected by anti-monopoly policies.
They never consider that monopolies arise, because of the normal
functioning of capitalism, and they never consider that tyrants arise
for their own set of objective historical and social laws.
Why do tyrants or Bonapartist regimes exist? We could go back to
Thomas Hobbes and Leviathan, who told us that because life is
“solitary, nasty, brutish and short”, and that people
thereby are prepared to grant absolute power to a sovereign provided
the sovereign acts to mitigate those vicissitudes of life. And, of
course, the neo-cons themselves take on board that Hobbesian dictum,
because whenever they sense that their own “sovereign”
power is threatened, they rush to show to their citizens that only
the power of the state protects them from external dangers, be it of
some rogue state, unknown terrorists, or whatever. It may be the
case that thousands of times more people die in a year from obesity,
or road accidents than from terrorist attacks, but the fear, the
power granted to the state arises from the fear of the terrorist, not
the fear of the motorist or the fast food producer. Its against the
terrorist or foreign power that the state must act, not against the
producer of fast food, or the car makers, and in order to act, the
state must be granted almost unlimited power, and billions of dollars
for armaments, for surveillance and so on.
But, this Hobbesian view cannot be the full answer as to why
Bonapartist figures arise. As society develops, life becomes less
““solitary, nasty, brutish and short”, and yet such
regimes continue to exist. The answer is that the state is based upon
civil society, and at certain times, the divisions that exist within
all societies become more acute. Between nations this is called the
Thucydides Trap. Thucydides wrote,
"What
made war inevitable was the growth of Athenian power and the fear
which this caused in Sparta."
It is essentially the same condition within society that Marx
describes in relation to class struggle, and that Trotsky discusses
in relation to Permanent Revolution. So long as some social force,
some section of civil society is strong enough to exert state power
and dominance, society and social relations can be fairly peaceful
and stable, even if that stability implies a denial of rights and
equality for the non-dominant sections of that society. The
horizontal cleavages within society along the lines of rank, caste,
status, and class imply that a ruling class/caste is able to exert
dominance, and as Engels describes in Anti-Duhring, in relation to
the “Force Theory” in history, this dominance cannot simply flow
from the ability to exert greater force than others. It is based
upon the material conditions in society, and in particular, on the
development of the economic and social relations.
Once those economic and social relations develop to a level whereby
some other class begins to grow in significance, it begins to demand
changes in society, and thereby the challenge the established order.
An existing ruling class challenged by such a power, just as in the
case of Athens and Sparta, will attempt to hold on to power, and so
an inevitable violent clash arises. Wherever, two social forces are
equally balanced, and so relatively weak, or where both are
absolutely weak, neither can exert sufficient power to dominate the
society, and so some third force, in the shape of the state, rises
above society, and imposes order in its own name.
But, societies in many instances are not simply divided along the
lines of these horizontal cleavages that intensify with economic and
social development. Societies are also divided along the lines of
vertical cleavages, or ethnicity, religion, gender, sexual
orientation etc. Once again these cleavages may be relatively or
absolutely weak or strong. Go back a hundred years, and in most
major British cities there were regular social conflicts between
Protestants and Catholics. Yet, they did not generally have more
impact on social cohesion than did class divisions. In Northern
Ireland, that was not the case. The divisions between Catholics and
Protestants, were more decisive than were class divisions, which is
why it became impossible to build solid labour movement organisations
that bridged the divide.
The strength of these vertical cleavages in each society are
themselves a function of other material conditions. In Northern
Ireland, it was the links between Protestant Unionism, and British
Tories and the British state, which underpinned the privileges that
enshrined Protestant Ascendancy. And, when the level of economic
development is low, even minor advantages for one social group can be
significant.
In general, the higher the level of economic and social development,
the stronger will be the horizontal cleavages in society, driving
towards a weakening of the vertical cleavages, in relative terms, and
vice versa. Societies that are more homogeneous, that have fewer
vertical cleavages, will always tend to be more stable than those
that are not, until such time as economic and social development
leads to a rupture along the horizontal cleavage.
In countries like Iraq, Syria, Libya, Egypt there are, however,
significant vertical cleavages, and in part that is due to the
artificial construction of those states at the start of the last
century by British and French colonialism. The state power,
therefore, is not just a reflection of the division of society along
class lines, but also a reflection of this division of society on
religious, ethnic and tribal lines. No group in society is powerful
enough to rule politically in its own name, confident of no challenge
from some other group. Each groups is relatively weak, and
threatened, and so the state itself in the form of some Bonapartist
strongman, rises above society, above all these contending social
forces, to establish order.
The liberal-interventionists are dishonest, because they fail to set
out, therefore, that in order for these societies to function as any
kind of bourgeois democracy, they require a great deal more economic
and social development, so that the vertical cleavages are diminished
in significance. Alternatively, the vertical cleavages have to be
recognised, and the existing states split up, into confessional
states, that thereby have greater homogeneity, though, in reality,
that would not now prevent wars breaking out for regional dominance
between these new states, in the same way that Saudi Arabia and the
other Gulf States are engaged in a series of proxy wars against Iran,
each in turn being backed by other global powers.
The truth about the policy of liberal interventionism is that,
wherever, in the world it is proposed, it logically implies a return
to old style colonialism. The Bonapartist regimes exist in these
states for real material reasons that will not go away simply by a
change of regime, that really means replacing one figurehead with
another. Today, bourgeois-democracy can only exist as a
social-democracy. No state could survive on the basis of 19th
century small scale capitalism. The global economy is dominated by
large, socialised industrial capital. But, social-democracy can only
exist, on the basis of a large middle class of “functioning
capitalists”, that implies also a large, educated working-class,
that is socialised and incorporated into the political structures,
which provide safety valves for the distributional struggle over
revenues.
That means that any state must have a high degree of economic and
social development for such bourgeois democracy to exist. Indeed,
that has always been one of the functions of Bonapartists from
Cromwell through to Bismark and Bolivar, to bring about the
accumulation of capital and economic development of society. The
liberal interventionists have to accept the truth that capitalist
development, in the face of a series of cross-cutting cleavages in
many societies, requires the imposition of order from above by often
brutal means. To pretend otherwise is sheer moralising.
If the liberal-interventionists really want to bring about peace and
harmony, they have to be prepared to become old style colonialists.
They have to become the state power themselves, imposing that order
from above, and they have to use that state power to bring about the
necessary accumulation of capital and economic development of the
particular society, and its social relations. But, such a colonial
policy to bring that about, is not something that can be done in a
matter of years, or even decades. It would require the imposition of
a colonial regime for at least a century.
Yet, the reality is that none of the developed capitalist states have
any appetite for such an expenditure of time, energy and capital. On
the contrary, they dropped colonialism after the first half of the
last century, because of these overhead costs, and because it implied
confrontations between colonial powers over who would have the writ
over particular areas of the globe.
In which case, the actions of the liberal interventionists are simply
moralising, and attempts to salve their conscience, by appearing to
“do something”, even though that something always makes
matters worse.
Trotsky was accused by the liberal interventionists of his day, such
as Kirrillovich, of being a doctrinaire, for opposing their
intervention. But, Trotsky, rightly pointed out that we cannot
assign the tasks of history to others, who will always follow their
own agenda, and not ours, even when they claim to be acting in a
progressive manner. If we want peace in Syria, only the Syrian
people can bring it about. If the liberal interventionists want to
do something, they should demand action by Britain and other
countries to stop jihadists going from there to fight in Syria; they
should demand an end to arms sales to Saudi Arabia and other
countries, which finds its way to the jihadists; they should demand
that Britain and other western powers stop kowtowing to the Gulf
Monarchies for the sake of economic benefit.
But we should oppose vigorously all outside intervention.
As Trotsky replied to Kirrilovich's criticism of Trotsky's
doctrinairism, for opposing the intervention,
“To speak of the 'liberation'
of Macedonia, laid waste, ravaged, infected with disease from end to
end, means either to mock reality or to mock oneself. Before our
eyes a splendid peninsula, richly endowed by nature, which in the
last few decades has made great cultural progress, is being hurled
back with blood and iron into the dark age of famine and cruel
barbarism. All the accumulations of culture are perishing, the work
of fathers, grandfathers and great grandfathers is being reduced to
dust, cities are being laid waste, villages are going up in flames,
and no end can yet be seen to this frenzy of destruction...Face to
face with such reversions to barbarism it is hard to believe that
'man' is a proud sounding word. But at least the 'doctrinaires' have
one consolation, and it is not small: they
can with a clear conscience say, 'Neither by deed nor word nor
thought are we guilty of this blood'” (p 332)
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