At the start of the year, I wrote about the effect that Brexit was having in bringing about
a centrifugal process leading to the break up of Britain. In the
last few weeks, those centrifugal forces have become stronger. The
Tories having shown a total disregard for the rights and interests of
the people of Scotland, as indeed they have done in respect of the
rights and interests of that 48% of the electorate that voted
Remain, in the referendum, have added grist to the mill of the
SNP in calling for another independence referendum. At the same
time, Northern Ireland, where a significant majority also voted in
favour of Remain, has seen the Unionists, become a minority for the
first time ever, thereby bringing closer the day when the two parts
of Ireland might be reunited.
The argument
that Marxists have always put, and which I outlined previously, is
that we are in favour of a unitary state as opposed to a federal
state, and we are only in favour of a federal state as against some
looser confederation, where a unitary state is not possible. The
underlying principle is that we are in favour of the greatest
possible unity of workers, and this unity is facilitated where all
borders are removed, and where the working-class acts as a single
force. But, as I also previously outlined, Marxists analyse this
also within a dynamic framework, as part of a process, and not in
static terms.
So, we would
generally be in favour not only of Britain remaining inside the EU,
but if Britain left the EU, we would generally be in favour of
Scottish workers, and Northern Irish workers remaining inside the
British State, as a unitary state, rather than leaving the British
state so as to remain in the EU proto state. However, considered
dynamically, Brexit appears to be setting Britain on a reactionary
course, and is encouraging its own fragmentation, whilst the EU –
providing, as I expect it will, it sees off the challenge from Le
Pen, Wilders etc. - is setting out a forward looking course, and
establishing the basis of further integration.
In the
earlier discussion, I suggested that its possible to see a basis
upon, which an independent Scotland could exist, within the EU. I
also set out that Northern Ireland could separate from Britain, and
operate as an independent territory within the EU, similar to
Andorra, or as I also proposed Gibraltar.
But, the end
of the Unionist majority in Northern Ireland, also opens another
possibility still short of an immediate United Ireland. That is that
instead of Scotland or Northern Ireland becoming independent from
Britain, the opposite should be framed, in the way that the “reverse
Greenland” solution was previously proposed for Scotland. That is,
it should be England (and Wales if they choose) that should Exit
Britain, at the same time that England leaves the EU. That would
leave Britain outside England (and possibly Wales) still a member of
the EU, thereby removing the need for them this remaining Britain to
apply for EU membership.
The further
advantage of this solution is that this new Britain could reunite
Ireland, Scotland, and Northern Ireland in a new unitary British
State, excluding England, or if necessary, to begin with on the basis
of a Federal Britain, bringing together separate states in Scotland,
Ireland and Northern Ireland. Indeed, it would leave open the
possibility of such a state, bringing within its remit the Isle of
Man, the Channel Islands etc.
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