There is a strand of thought
within the Left that sees all political developments as inevitable
consequences of the needs of capital. This kind of crude economic
determinism has nothing in common with Marxism. It assumes that
there is some kind of single capital logic outside of which
historical development cannot stray. If we were to take it literally
then either we have to conclude that Socialism is hopeless, because
all future development is predetermined, and Capital will always win,
or else it is inevitable, in which case there is nothing we as
socialists or workers have to do, because history will bring it to us
on a plate anyway. It confuses the fact, as Marx demonstrated, that
all history can be explained in rational terms, after the event on
the basis of the struggle of contending forces, which are ultimately
motivated by economic interests, with the idea that only one outcome
was ever logically possible.
There was no inevitability
of Thatcher or Thatcherism. After the event, we can understand how
both Thatcher and Thatcherism arose, and we can understand that in
rational terms. We can even understand what economic forces created
the conditions for her rise, and continuation, but there was nothing
inevitable about it. Arguments that she or someone like her was
inevitable, because Thatcherism was needed by Capital, are crude
determinism, and also contrary to the facts. The reality is that
Thatcher is rightly hated by workers, because she was a disaster for
them, but she was also a disaster for capital itself.
There certainly was no
inevitability of Thatcher personally coming to power. She faced
considerable opposition within the Tory Party itself, before she
could even become its leader. All of the Tory grandees opposed her.
She won the leadership on the basis of rank and file Tory support,
that reflected a Party in her own image. A party of mostly,
reactionary, petit-bourgeois. Having done so, there was no
inevitability that she would win the election. In fact, in 1978, the
odds were that Labour would win the next election. Had Callaghan not
delayed in 1978, had he not remained attached to the crumbling Social
Contract with the TUC, and provoked the Winter of Discontent, its
likely Labour would have won.
Having won the 1979
Election, Thatcher's stay in power for long was also far from
inevitable. Her position as leader was not secure. She faced a
continual threat from the Social Democratic wing of the party, what
came to be known as “The Wets”. Moreover, even at the time of
the Election Thatcherism as it came to be known did not exist. There
was no mention of privatisation, for example, and Thatcher despite
the sound bites was quite capable of making U-Turns when required.
When it looked like she would lose against the miners in 1981, over
pit closures, she backed down.
Moreover, in 1981, what
looked inevitable was that Thatcher's stay in power would be very
short lived. At that time she went down as the most unpopular Prime
Minister of all time. I well remember, as unemployment soared,
marching with tens of thousands of others in Liverpool, London and
other major cities, on demonstrations headed up by Michael Foot. At
that time, the Labour Party stood at more than 50% in the opinion
polls that would have seen it home with a huge majority at the next
election. The opposition to Thatcher within the Tory party
intensified. There was no inevitability of Thatcher or Thatcherism.
Thatcher was saved by the
Falklands War, and by other factors. The other factors included
sectarianism on the Left, and poor tactics by the Local Government
Left in fighting cuts, and linking up their struggle with that of
other workers. Thatcher undoubtedly used the Falklands to engage in
sabre rattling to gain support by rallying around the flag, but its
unlikely that even she decided to sacrifice hundreds of British
troops lives, and of Argentinian lives simply for her own electoral
success. The War happened because such sabre rattling has a dynamic
of its own that can lead to war when neither of the parties really
has any desire for it. Its a lesson that should be born in mind
today in Korea. But, there was plenty of opposition within even the
Tory Cabinet to the war even when it started. Britain was lucky to
win the war even against a third rate power like Argentina, because
they nearly ran out of ammunition! Had Britain lost, Thatcher would
have been out, and probably Labour would have won the ensuing
election. There was nothing inevitable about Thatcher or
Thatcherism.
Only after the Falklands did
Thatcher's position become secure within the Tory Party, yet even
then it was not inevitable that the Tories would remain in power.
Had the SDP not split from Labour and linked up with the Liberals,
Labour would probably have won the 1983 election. Certainly the
Tories would have had a much smaller majority. There was nothing
inevitable about Thatcher or Thatcherism.
But, nor can Thatcherism be
explained in terms of the needs of Capital. The idea that what
modern capitalism needs is the kind of small state mentality that
Thatcherism represented, and which Cameron today tries to replicate,
is absurd. Since its inception, Capitalism has relied on a powerful
Capitalist State standing behind it and supporting it. As Marx sets
out in Capital, it was the Capitalist State, and in particular the
building up of a huge National Debt that played a major role in the
process of primary accumulation of capital. It was the State which
provided the military force required by Merchant Capital for Colonial
expansion, and modern Big industrial capital is highly tied to the
State. In the US, in France, in Germany, in Japan and more recently
in places like Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia and China the State has
played a central role in supporting capitalist development including
picking industrial winners, and helping finance them, or shape
economic policy to meet their needs.
Moreover, under Thatcherism,
the size of the State did NOT contract, it expanded! That was not
just because she built up the bodies of armed men to batter down
workers. The aspect of the State that expanded most under
Thatcherism was Welfarism, as mass unemployment swelled the payments
of benefits for years on end. Moreover, the attempt to massage the
unemployment figures via more than 20 changes to the basis of
calculation, also brought about the condition that has persisted
since, that large numbers of people were moved off the unemployment
register, and on to the list of people claiming Incapacity Benefit.
From the perspective of Capital, this represented not some kind of
inevitable logic, but a huge waste of resources.
It did have a logic for
Thatcher, and the section of society she represented, however.
Thatcher, like Cameron today represented the interests not of the
dominant section of Capital, but of the class she came from, the
small capitalists, the petit-bourgeoisie, and middle class, with all
its attendant reactionary, narrow minded, and nationalistic views,
that is quite antithetical to the needs of big, multinational,
industrial capital. It was that, which led to her vitriolic hatred
of Trades Unions – who, in fact, the big, multinational, industrial
capitalists had long since learned to live with, and make use of.
The section of society that Thatcher represented, like the
Libertarians and Anarcho-Capitalists today were the enemy of that Big
industrial capital. That is why, as the process of
de-industrialisation unfolded, Thatcher rather than intervening in
the interests of that industrial capital, instead pursued policies
that hastened its demise.
Thatcher not only allowed
large scale manufacturing industry to rot, she encouraged it, she
pursued policies that hastened it. Policies such as the introduction
of Enterprise Zones, worked in that direction, because what they were
about was providing support for all those small, inefficient
capitalists, who like the zombie companies today, could only exist on
the back of cheap labour, and oppressive working conditions.
Thatcherism encouraged the development of a low wage-high debt
economy, which was quite alien to the needs of big industrial
capital, which for decades had learned that the most effective means
of extracting surplus value, was via investment in equipment that
would raise productivity. The proof of that was what happened when
large Japanese industrial companies set up car plants in the country,
which over night were some of the most efficient in the world, and
profitable from day one, despite paying generally above average
wages, and providing better than average working conditions.
In order to create a low
wage-high debt economy, the economy which has caused most of the
problems the UK suffers from today, Thatcher set about allowing all
of these old large industries to go to the wall, in order to
undermine the strength of workers. Unemployment rose, and welfare
spending rose with it, funded by North Sea oil revenues, that were
squandered, whereas they could have been used to restructure British
Capital towards more efficient, high value production ready for when
the new global upturn began. The argument that this strategy was
needed for Capital in order to defeat the Trades Unions does not
stand up. It turns a Trades Union movement, which in Britain had
been the backbone of reformism, of bargaining within the system for
more than a century into some kind of revolutionary force. It
portrays the British Trades Unions as more of a threat to Capital
than were the more powerful Trades Unions in France or Germany, or
Italy, where no such strategy was adopted. There was nothing
inevitable about Thatcherism.
In Germany, the kinds of
reforms to the labour process that Thatcherism is said to have been
needed for, were achieved over a longer period, largely on the basis
of consensus with the Trades Unions. The Social Contract had
demonstrated the way the British Trades Unions could be incorporated
into a similar process in Britain too. Had the Callaghan Government
had the resources of North Sea Oil, that Thatcherism squandered on
Welfare payments in the 1980's, then it is likely that it would have
oiled the wheels of a similar transition. But, its possible that a
Tory Government led by one of its social-democratic wing, like
Heseltine, might have achieved something similar. What stood against
that, was not the interests of Capital, but the weight of all those
small capitalists, and backward sections of the middle class that
made up the ranks of the Tory Party.
The real British disease in
the 1970's, was not too powerful Trades Unions and repeated strikes,
it was an already decayed industrial structure, whose real decay was
being highlighted by the onset of the Long Wave downturn, in a world
where new modern, dynamic industrial powers were rising within the
global economy. The problem with the British car industry was not
its industrial relations, but decades of under investment, and a
continuation of plants in unsuitable locations, such as Longbridge,
that resulted in higher than average costs, inadequate investment in
research, development, and design and whose consequences were lack of
competitiveness and profitability, which lazy managements then
attempted to resolve on the backs of the workers, which then resulted
in the poor industrial relations.
Unlike, what happened in
Germany, Thatcherism did nothing to change that underlying reality.
In the end, the attacks on the Trades Unions, and the mass
unemployment that facilitated them, and the low wages they were
intended to facilitate, did nothing to assist British industrial
capital, which continued to decline and disappear. Sometimes it
disappeared to China, or elsewhere, but frequently it also simply
disappeared altogether as a total loss. So, to say that Thatcher's
policies of attacks on workers was needed by this important section
of capital makes no sense.
That, of course, is not to
say that workers should have settled for a social-democratic solution
for Capitalism either. Yet, a look at Germany and the UK today, and
the experiences of workers in both countries over the last 30 years,
shows which model has been better both for workers and for Capital,
and it most certainly was not the Thatcherite model. That is despite
the fact that Germany did not have the huge benefit of North Sea Oil
that Britain has enjoyed. In Germany, workers wages are higher,
pensions are higher, the welfare state provides superior benefits,
working conditions are far superior, and workers have not gone
through the traumas that British workers have endured. Its society
is more equal, and stable. Other European countries that followed a
similar social-democratic model show the same benefits. Britain by
contrast as a result of Thatcherism and the economic and social
conditions it generated, created a more unequal, much less stable
society. All social analysis shows that such societies by their
nature are less productive than those which are more equal and
stable.
Germany, has maintained a
large productive sector of its economy, and is still the world's
second largest exporter, just behind China. By contrast, Britain's
economy has been hollowed out, which by no stretch of the imagination
can be described as having been in the interests of Capital. A low
wage-high debt economy created by Thatcherism, fostered all of those
low value, inefficient sections of capital, as well as unproductive
sections of Capital, such as in Financial Services. But, that model
based on blowing up asset price bubbles, as a means of encouraging
people to borrow to consume, could not go on forever. It has led to
the current Financial Meltdown.
That model is also what led
to the policy of selling Council houses. Of course, today, the news
media only talk about those for whom that was a boon, but they fail
to mention that in the house price crash and rising unemployment
after 1990, thousands of people who had been encouraged to buy their
Council house, had to hand it back, because they could not pay the
mortgage! And, of course, that very policy is partly to blame for
the lack of social housing today, along with the concomitant policy
of preventing Councils from using Capital receipts from sales to
build new Council houses. The same economic policy is also what led
to the encouragement of people to spend large amounts of money on
private Pensions, which became next to worthless in the Stock Market
Crash of 2000.
The policy on Council houses
was merely emblematic of what Thatcherism was, a great Ponzi Scheme,
built on debt, which kept the Tories in office for a long period, by
giving huge bribes to its electoral base. It did so at the cost of
essentially defenestrating the counties economy and social structure.
The policy of privatisation was another example. The industries
that had been nationalised, had been so because they were already
bust due to years of under investment. Nationalisation was largely a
policy for providing the needed investment by the taxpayer, whilst
the industry was rationalised at the expense of its workers –
sometimes rationalised out of existence – ready to be taken over
again. When Thatcher began the policy of privatisation, limits were
placed on the number of shares that could be obtained. This was a
blatant bribe to the middle class. The offer prices were set
artificially low. The middle classes, and better off workers were
able to buy their maximum amount of shares, sure in the knowledge
they would make a sizeable capital gain within weeks when they sold
them. When they did sell the shares were picked up by the banks and
financial institutions.
This process of making
investing all about short term Capital Gains rather than long term
investment for income fed into the Thatcherite high debt model.
Combined with the deregulation of banks and financial services
culminating in the Big Bang, it set the conditions for the subsequent
huge bubbles in property and share prices, and thereby for the
subsequent bursting of those bubbles. Increasingly, investing and
making money became about gambling on such rapid changes in asset
prices rather than investing in actual productive activity. That
again is what led to the imbalances in the UK economy, and its over
reliance on the banks and Finance houses.
When the Tories complain
about the imbalances in the economy, and the lack of regulation of
the banks, they should blame Thatcher. When they complain about the
lack of any large manufacturing sector, they should blame Thatcher.
When they complain about the problems of people stuck on welfare for
decades, they should blame Thatcher. When they complain about the
inability for ordinary people to buy houses, they should blame
Thatcher.
But, there is little to be
gained from such blame gains. In the end, the only people we can
blame for our condition is ourselves, for failing to take control of
our own lives, and leaving it in the hands of our enemies. In one
respect, Thatcher was right, therefore, that we should not rely on
some benevolent dictator in the shape of the state or politicians
resolving our problems for us. But, as Marx pointed out, the days
when individual peasant producers could do that have long since gone.
The only way we today can resolve our own problems is collectively.
That is why workers created Trades Unions, it is why they created
Co-operative enterprises and stores, and why they established
Friendly Societies and other Mutual organisations so that they could
collectively provide for their own welfare and social security. In
rejecting Thatcherism, we should not go back to the failed statist
models that preceded it, but go forward to rebuild and rejuvenate all
of those basic organisations of workers self activity, self-help and
self government. If we do that, Thatcherism will actually in the end
have done us a favour.
To what extent was the historic problem with British industry down to the mentality of British capitalists, who didn't want to nurture productive business for the long term, but merely to make enough money for themselves to allow them to join the landed gentry? This survival of pre-capitalist thinking may also be the root of the British public's obsession with house prices.
ReplyDeleteAnother problem with many British industrial firms may have been that they didn't realize (due to having captive colonial markets) how uncompetitive they really were, and thus rapidly collapsed once Britain dumped its colonies.
I think that is right. Once again some Marxists tend to operate with a rather mechanical and determinist model. Marx sets out the objective laws under which capitalism develops and operates, but a look at what he says about the way individual capitalists rejected the view of Malthus and others that they should concentrate all of their efforts into accumulation, and leave the conspicuous consumption to the old ruling classes, shows that Marx's view recognised that there was a great deal of scope for subjectivism too.
ReplyDeleteAs he says, beyond a certain point, and the more they are divorced themselves from the productive process, the more they tend to concern themselves with their own luxurious lifestyle as well as the need to accumulate capital.
But, there can be a similar tendency arising from the development of professional Managers too i.e. the Executives. If you get paid huge amounts of money whether your firm does well or not, and if like a Football Manager, being sacked from one job, simply means you move into another identical job, you will tend to focus on short termism, as well as lining your own pockets.
During the 19th century, and most of the 20th. Britain was able to rest on its laurels and the advantages it had from the Colonies, rather than modernising. In part that was what the debates over Free Trade between the Liberals and Tories were about.
I was also reading a while ago about the way the Taylorists even in the US saw existing professional managers as far from professional. In Britain, that was probably even more true. Moreover, even within the big industrial firms, the professional managers, were and are people who themselves had come from the same kind of small capitalist, petit-bourgeois background as Tories, which is why organisations like the CBI, and certainly the Institute of Directors, are usually closer to the Tories than the interests of big capital would actually suggest they should be.
British Capital had been in decline since the end of the 19th Century, and the continuation of that was inevitable. The post-war boom disguised it.
On house prices as I've said many times I find the mindset puzzling. Who would see large rises in prices of cars, TV's or any other requirement as being a good thing??? Why don't even fairly intelligent people realise that when the most expensive thing you are ever likely to buy goes up in price, it makes you considerably poorer not richer?
I suppose rising house prices are a good thing for existing homeowners within the context of the Thatcherite debt-based economy, as the extra value can be extracted via MEWing to fund consumption.
ReplyDeleteI didn't know that Malthus condemned capitalists who lived luxuriously (although come to think of it, that wouldn't be surprising given that he was a clergyman). I only knew of him as an advocate of population control...
Malthus was an apologist for the old Landed Aristocracy. Most of his ideas were actually plagiarised from earlier writers. His ideas on unproductive consumption was linked to his ideas on population. He believed that the landlord class - and that included its attendant layers like the clergy - fulfilled a useful function in buying up luxury goods, which provided demand for the "productive classes", which combines workers and capitalists, thereby keeping them productively employed. The capitalists he argued should not consume unproductively, however, because that would distract them from their real function of investing in production.
ReplyDeleteRising house prices even for existing home owners are still a bad thing for numerous reasons.
1) using them as an ATM to fund consumption only means putting yourself in even further debt i.e. impoverishing yourself further.
2) Most people want to move up to a more expensive house from the one they own, so any given % increase means in absolute terms the more expensive house has become less affordable i.e. you are relatively worse off again.
3) Many people have kids, so the price for them is higher meaning they will be worse off when they come to buy a house. That's why parents are being encouraged to pauperise themselves by borrowing more against their own house to provide deposits on overpriced houses for their kids!
4) Higher prices mean higher costs for house insurance, for repairs and maintenance, and possibly for things like Council Tax.
Why are house price rises politically popular, if they are a bad thing even for existing homeowners?
ReplyDeleteWhy do some people like drinking alcohol to excess, or taking recreational drugs, even though they are bad for you? People generally do not act rationally. There is a whole school of finance based on that premise, and profits from being contrarian.
ReplyDeleteWhy do people always race to be the first to stand up to get off an aeroplane, even though it simply means having to stand while you wait for everyone to get their bags, for the doors to be opened, and it then means you are the first on the bus, whereas those who simply sat and waited had a much pleasanter time, and ended up last on the bus, but first off it, able to go to the toilets before everyone else, prior to going through passport control.
In the same way, why do people always tend to wait until prices are high before they think its a good time to buy, when in fact its the time they are most likely to fall again, and the best time to buy is when prices are low!
Why did people think it was great that Tulip bulbs were going through the roof, and rushed out to buy some - until nobody else wanted to buy them? Manias always seem great and exciting, that's what makes them manias. Its the cold turkey people don't like.
On the subject of high house prices being politically popular, what do you think of the blog comments posted by "Blissex"?
ReplyDeleteHe argues that most voters (due to demographics) are retirees or near-retirees who identify with rentier interests, and therefore want low wages (for cheaper care) and high asset prices, and that is what has driven politicians to the Right since 1980. (A good example of this is America's Tea Party movement, most of whose rank-and-file is made up of retirees.)
He also thinks that continued decline in Britain is inevitable due to the exhaustion of North Sea Oil.
I haven't studied their comments in detail, as my time is very limited.
ReplyDeleteI think there is something to the idea put forward. There were a lot of people who bought houses for the first time in the 1950's, 60's, and 70's at what today would seem very low prices. They have benefited from high rates of inflation in the 70's that inflated away the capital value of mortgages. That gives the delusion of wealth.
Amongst that sector, I have no doubt the point has some validity - but those who are taken in by the delusion of wealth, are nevertheless deluded, and in for a nasty shock when these fictitious asset prices collapse. That is no doubt one reason, but only one for why politicians like Osborne are trying to prevent that inevitable collapse.
But, there are even amongst that age group many who never had an income sufficient to buy a house, probably particularly in more expensive locations like London. They just see the effect of high house prices as feeding through into high rents. Even if that is not an immediate problem for them, high house prices are a problem for their children and grandchildren, whether they need to buy or rent, and they are a problem for all those who find themselves paying large amounts of tax to subsidise Landlords exorbitant rents via Housing Benefit.
I don't think anything is ever inevitable. Oil is not the significant factor it once was, and in any case shale is being developed. The roots of Britain's decline are far deeper than a reliance on oil.